Pessimism concerning Africa's development crises varied somewhat from region to region, but the general outline of them might be seen from an “internal” or sympathetic view and an “external” view which I would hesitate to call strictly “objective”. In the first, the crises can be seen as again divide in two: intrinsic crises factors and extrinsic ones. The intrinsic ones are conditioned by the actual facts of life in Africa. Equatorial Africa, for example, is unlikely to save itself from economic hardship by converting to wheat production for export. On the other hand, with urban growth at 6% per annum, and urban Africans demanding wheat-based foods (a cultural change influenced undoubtedly by European-cosmopolitan food choices), wheat imports become imbalanced as against native export. In communities such as Nigeria, this imbalance may be hidden by the presence in the Nigerian economy of a high-demand export product, oil. South Africa similarly appears as an oddity in almost any chart or graph of African crises, because of the presence of diamonds and gold and sophisticated extraction techniques at least partially controlled by companies inside SA.
Extrinsic factors may be roughly grouped together in the “neo-colonialism” category. Vibrant African economies in full competition with Western economies, while the fond dream of many, would diminish the short-term gains of Western economic entities as compared with flaccid African economies in debt-slavery to Western lending institutions. The IMF/WB is a prime example of the sort of “helping” institution that ensure de facto that LDCs remain LD. Thus the pessimistic strain in its “sympathetic” form.
The “external” form of pessimism toward the African economic situation sounds quite hollow when one reviews the machinations of Western governments and quasi-governmental institutions to de-stabilize African societies. The basic tenor of this form is to suggest that Africans are not yet ready – perhaps will never be constitutionally prepared – to oversee their own economic life. Just as the Christian missionaries of the past were needed to inform Africans of their sinful nature and then save them from themselves, just so the Keynsian missionaries of the present are needed to inform Africans of their inability to manage finances and the means by which they can “extract” themselves.
Balanced against this gloomy picture is an optimistic outlook (expressed in part in the articles by Jamal and Wulf) that although, yes, there are very considerable crises in Africa, these crises are a matter of focus. Jamal points out that insufficient effort has been applied to improvement of African agriculture, and that the effort that has been directed to the development of markets skews the vision of the African crisis. African economic independence may be hampered at present by misapplied effort; proper application of effort in the proper areas is likely to bring better results. Wulf suggests that by tying financial support to financial success, a vicious cycle is created which might be corrected by requiring developmental progress rather than fiduciary progress. Overall, the authors of the articles work from the assumption that Africans are perfectly capable of succeeding if placed in some way on a “level playing field” with their neighbors.
In 1988, when Jurgen Wulf wrote about them, the Structural Adjustment Programs of the IMF in Zambia were unsuccessful because they failed to institute or encourage retructuring of the economy so that exports consisted of more than raw copper, local production was competitive with imported goods, and the internal market was viable. Notably, the reasons for the failure to restructure Wulf describes as being related to the loss of technical and administrative capacities which may have been present in colonial times. One might argue that the Zambians should have followed the lead of their Tanzanian neighbors.
Mittelman and Will argued in 1987 that the IMF demonstrated the power (“flexibility and resilience”) of international capitalism. However, they were less sanguine about the effects of this power, which they claimed forced governments of countries under the IMF regime to employ coercive measures to accomplish their aims (thus supporting a cycle of violence). They argued that the IMF reduces the control of “dominant classes” and therefore “intensifies class conflict”, whether that is ultimately beneficial or not. Conditionality of IMF membership depresses wages, increases unemployment, and “facilitates resource extraction” without substantial benefit to the nation from which the resources are extracted, they proposed. The net effect of involvement of LDCs in the IMF, then, Mittelman and Will argued, is to shackle developing nations to international capitalism and to reinforce divisions of labor.
Economics is a subject I find daunting and confusing, and I confess I had difficulty following the probably fairly simple economic arguments advanced in the articles for this week. Overall, what I saw was that membership in the IMF, like membership in the UN, has been proposed with glowing rhetoric of democratic promise, but in fact is established not on democratic grounds (say, one nation, one vote) but on economic grounds: ever member nation receives a certain number of basic shares, which provide a basic vote, but then wealthier nations can have many more shares and thus many more votes. Somehow the framers of the US Constitution found a way to balance the democratic needs of the federation while recognizing that, say, Virginia's and Rhode Island's financial and political capacities are distinct. Why the IMF founders did not adopt similar quota schemes suggests that democracy and self-determination are lesser values when compared with the protection of capital investments.